Too early for this? Absolutely, but the Oscars (and related film awards season) is basically my Christmas, so I feel justified.
Anyway, just putting this out there for general discussion on the impending awards season, plus predictions or whatnot for the 88th Academy Awards ceremony.
A handful of ill-informed predictions based off available knowledge:
Key & Peele hosting (as the new producers worked for BET and have confirmed dual hosts)
Best Picture (ranked by likelihood):
1. Spotlight
2. Bridge of Spies
3. Steve Jobs
4. Room
5. The Martian (would never have believed it three months ago)
6. Inside Out
7. Black Mass
Also expecting good things from The Revenant, Joy, and The Big Short, but will hold off judgment until more is known about those.
Best Director:
1. Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
2. Steve Spielberg, Bridge of Spies
3. Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
4. George Miller, Mad Max Fury Road (no Picture nom, but hopefully Director)
5. Ridley Scott, The Martian (a bit optimistic for two SF blockbusters in one year, but we'll see)
Best Actor:
1. Johnny Depp
2. Michael Fassbender
3. Tom Hanks
4. Bryan Cranston
5. Michael Caine
Too early for this? Absolutely, but the Oscars (and related film awards season) is basically my Christmas, so I feel justified.
How good is Spotlight? Has anyone seen it? I'm not a fan of Ruffalo, and I despise Rachel McAdams... Plus, the directors last 2 films were pitiful. Is it really a front runner?
I thought about doing this a few days ago, but figured it's be a bit too early. These are my best guesses though:
HOSTS: Justin Timberlake & Amy Schumer (... I dunno.. could be anyone..) I was wrong.
BEST PICTURE
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
Inside Out
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Son of Saul (could potentially win if nominated)
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
BEST DIRECTOR
George Miller - Mad Max Fury Road
Todd Haynes - Carol
Tom Hooper - The Danish Girl
Alejandro Inarritu - The Revenant
Steven Spielberg - Bridge of Spies
BEST ACTOR
Johhny Depp - Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett - Carol
Rooney Mara - Carol
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years
Brie Larson - Room
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (not a clue who will win)
Idris Elba - Beasts of No Nation
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Kurt Russell - The Hateful Eight
Tom Hardy - The Revenant
Jacob Tremblay - The Room
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
Marion Cotillard - Macbeth
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Kristen Stewart - Clouds of Sils Maria
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE (which is a much closer race than I think people are realizing)
Inside Out
The Good Dinosaur
Anomalisa
Shaun The Sheep
When Marnie Was There
BEST FOREIGN FILM
Son of Saul A Pigeon Sat on a Branch
The Assassin ????
Labyrinth of Lies
Mustang
BEST SCORE
The Hateful Eight
Carol
Inside Out
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
BEST DOCUMENTARY
Amy
The Look of Silence
Where To Invade Next
The Hunting Ground
3 1/2 Minutes _________________ Doubles & Conch
Last edited by Hayden on 01/06/2016 22:51; edited 13 times in total
Best Original Screenplay:
1. Spotlight
2. Bridge of Spies
5. Suffragette
I've always been confused about this category. What makes these 3 films 'original screenplays', when they're all adapted from real life events? Especially since you put 'Steve Jobs' in adapted. _________________ Doubles & Conch
How good is Spotlight? Has anyone seen it? I'm not a fan of Ruffalo, and I despise Rachel McAdams... Plus, the directors last 2 films were pitiful. Is it really a front runner?
I personally haven't, but 97%on Rotten Tomatoes and 81/100 on Metacritic convinced me. Plus it played at Venice, Toronto, and Telluride Film Festivals. 1st place may be overdoing it admittedly, but I feel confident in a nomination at least.
I've always been confused about this category. What makes these 3 films 'original screenplays', when they're all adapted from real life events? Especially since you put 'Steve Jobs' in adapted.
It only counts as adapted if it was adapted from a specific published work (I think) meaning that something based off real life wouldn't count. Of course, I'm not 100% on any of these and theybreally could go anywhere, who knows.
(Case in point: Whiplash getting an "Adapted" screenplay nomination when most others called it "Original")
Trust me, I try to support Canadian actors as much as I can, but I just don't understand why people like her... she truly can't act. The only thing I've seen her do remotely well in is About Time. I think her performance in Midnight in Paris actually degrades the movie 🤣
Plus, with her multiple performance cluttering her time this year (Aloha, Everything Will Be Fine, True Detective, Southpaw), I can't see how she'd have time to pull together a strong performance for Spotlight. I dunno, maybe she did, I haven't seen it... but I'm really just not a fan of her. _________________ Doubles & Conch
The better question is, will Spotlight be Tom Mccarthy's best movie of 2015, or will it fail to measure up to the genius of The Cobbler (which is still one of my top five favorite movies of the year, no joke).
It only counts as adapted if it was adapted from a specific published work (I think) meaning that something based off real life wouldn't count. Of course, I'm not 100% on any of these and theybreally could go anywhere, who knows.
(Case in point: Whiplash getting an "Adapted" screenplay nomination when most others called it "Original")
That was silly last year... Whiplash should of been eligible. The soundtrack not being eligible for it's respective category was also silly.
In recent years films like The King's Speech, Zero Dark Thirty, Dallas Buyer's Club and The Queen have all been allowed in the 'Best Original Screenplay' category, but Captain Phillips, The Theory of Everything, Lincoln, The Social Network and 127 Hours have been considered 'adapted'... I'm sure I'm just missing a piece of information on why, but the line between the two seems to mesh. _________________ Doubles & Conch
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Hayden
Applerill
