How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last?
by Big Red Machine

How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? by Big Red Machine
Year: 2021
Release date: 2021-08-27
Overall rank: 8,021st   Overall chart history
Average Rating: 
73/100 (from 39 votes)
  Ratings distribution   Average rating history
Accolades:
Award Top albums of 2021 (114th)
Award Top albums of the 2020s (559th)
Award Best albums of all time (8,021st)

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Big Red Machine bestography

How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? is ranked as the best album by Big Red Machine.

Big Red Machine album bestography « Higher ranked
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This album (8,021st)
How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last?
Lower ranked (9,695th) »
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(N.B. Bestographies include all albums by an artist (and their variations), but do not include albums ranked outside the top 100,000).

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How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? track list

  Track ratings The tracks on this album have an average rating of 75 out of 100 (all tracks have been rated).

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How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? rankings

Rankings summary
Overall rank: 8,021st | 2020s rank: 559th | 2021 rank: 114th

How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? collection

How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? ratings

Average Rating: 
73/100 (from 39 votes)
  Ratings distribution Help Average Rating = (n ÷ (n + m)) × av + (m ÷ (n + m)) × AV
where:
av = trimmed mean average rating an item has currently received.
n = number of ratings an item has currently received.
m = minimum number of ratings required for an item to appear in a 'top-rated' chart (currently 10).
AV = the site mean average rating.

Showing latest 5 ratings for this album. | Show all 39 ratings for this album.

Sort Sort by
RatingDate updatedMemberAlbum ratingsAvg. album rating
 
0/100
 
12/20/2025 22:40 subnam  Ratings distribution  17021/100
 
75/100
 
08/11/2025 15:37 cabvo  Ratings distribution  60474/100
 
80/100
 
11/15/2023 16:20 Dalcio  Ratings distribution  27978/100
 
70/100
 
08/10/2023 18:49 PanheadWarrior  Ratings distribution  1,63372/100
 
70/100
 
02/06/2023 17:47 DavideBerna  Ratings distribution  1,88574/100

Rating metrics: Help Outliers can be removed when calculating a mean average to dampen the effects of ratings outside the normal distribution. This figure is provided as the trimmed mean. A high standard deviation can be legitimate, but can sometimes indicate 'gaming' is occurring. Consider a simplified example* of an item receiving ratings of 100, 50, & 0. The mean average rating would be 50. However, ratings of 55, 50 & 45 could also result in the same average. The second average might be more trusted because there is more consensus around a particular rating (a lower deviation).
(*In practice, some albums can have several thousand ratings)

This album has a Bayesian average rating of 72.7/100, a mean average of 70.9/100, and a trimmed mean (excluding outliers) of 72.8/100. The standard deviation for this album is 16.3.

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How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? favourites

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How Long Do You Think It's Gonna Last? comments

Showing all 4 comments |
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Rating:  
95/100
From 12/16/2021 13:37 | #277565
This album is one of the great releases of 2021. It’s the perfect symbiosis between electric and acoustic music and it features some amazing artists. My favorite song is ‚new auburn‘ with Anaïs Mitchell, but all the others are great too.
Helpful?  (Log in to vote) | 0 votes (0 helpful | 0 unhelpful)
Rating:  
60/100
From 12/03/2021 20:21 | #277073
Decent mix of artists performing within the folk pop diaspora. Not too much of substance here for me. It's not bad but it's just ok. Would've preferred more Justin Vernon.
Helpful?  (Log in to vote) | +1 votes (1 helpful | 0 unhelpful)
Rating:  
90/100
From 08/31/2021 04:21 | #273109
One of the best albums of 2021. Aaron Dessner's first major record putting his own story and songwriting at the forefront. An exploration of the ghosts we have. Beautiful.
Helpful?  (Log in to vote) | 0 votes (0 helpful | 0 unhelpful)
Rating:  
70/100
From 08/30/2021 13:37 | #273071
I have a hot take... the 2 songs which did not feature Justin Vernon in ANY capacity are actually the 2 best songs on the album. Despite the other high profile guest artists Taylor Swift, Fleet Foxes, and Sharon Van Etten, I think Aaron Dessner shines when he's on lead vocals. Anaïs Mitchell's tracks are also great. I think I'd best describe this album as Folklore and I Am Easy to Find combined but with VERY heavy Justin Vernon influences. "The Ghost of Cincinnati" is a contender for my song of the year, but the album overall is good-not-great.

I think other than the 2 tracks which don't feature Vernon at all, this feels a lot more like a Bon Iver album than a National album. It's neither, but if this had been released as a Bon Iver album with Dessner producing and the same guest musicians, I think it would've easily fit with the Bon Iver repertoire. Vernon's bandmates S. Carey and Mike Lewis do feature on the album (as do Aaron Dessner's bandmates Bryce Dessner and Bryan Devendorf).

It's a lot of star talent, and while it doesn't necessarily live up to its potential, it does very well despite having too many cooks in the kitchen.
Helpful?  (Log in to vote) | +2 votes (2 helpful | 0 unhelpful)
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